Mexico · October 2026
Sealed · awaiting results
A forecast of Mexico’s consumer-confidence index (ICC), its five components and 15 survey-item balances, using 300 synthetic respondents. It will be scored against INEGI’s ENCO original series.
- Sealed
- Official release expected
The forecast values stay private until scoring. An independent timestamp records the commitment ahead of October fieldwork; it verifies timing, not predictive accuracy.
Scoring, scope and verification
How we’ll score it
The forecast passes if its ICC error is within 2 points and smaller than the error from carrying forward the last published value available when sealed. The 2-point threshold is an error tolerance, not a confidence interval. We’ll also publish errors for all five components and 15 survey items, including any misses.
What this test covers
This test uses a Spanish survey battery and an urban population proxy for ENCO’s 32-city survey. Predictive accuracy is pending. It does not validate every Studio study; the survey prompts have not been verified as equivalent to those used in Studio.
Verify the seal
FreeTSA signed the commitment on , before fieldwork scheduled for 1–20 October. The registration contains the scoring rules, file checksums and verification details.
- Forecast commitment · SHA-256
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